Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000676 0.000769 0.000867 0.000979 0.001102 0.001233 0.001382
2025-09-07 0.000528 0.000657 0.000802 0.000977 0.001181 0.001411 0.001688
2025-09-14 0.000449 0.000592 0.000762 0.000975 0.001234 0.001535 0.001909
2025-09-21 0.000383 0.000535 0.000721 0.000964 0.001269 0.001633 0.002099
2025-09-28 0.000329 0.000484 0.000681 0.000946 0.001288 0.001709 0.002259
2025-10-05 0.000302 0.000463 0.000676 0.000970 0.001359 0.001847 0.002497
2025-10-12 0.000277 0.000442 0.000668 0.000988 0.001420 0.001973 0.002721
2025-10-19 0.000246 0.000411 0.000642 0.000979 0.001444 0.002050 0.002883
2025-10-26 0.000219 0.000382 0.000617 0.000968 0.001462 0.002118 0.003034
2025-11-02 0.000202 0.000365 0.000608 0.000977 0.001508 0.002223 0.003235
2025-11-09 0.000184 0.000345 0.000592 0.000977 0.001539 0.002307 0.003409
2025-11-16 0.000161 0.000316 0.000560 0.000948 0.001528 0.002333 0.003503
2025-11-23 0.000140 0.000289 0.000529 0.000922 0.001519 0.002362 0.003603
2025-11-30 0.000127 0.000273 0.000515 0.000919 0.001544 0.002438 0.003771
2025-12-07 0.000116 0.000259 0.000502 0.000918 0.001571 0.002517 0.003944
2025-12-14 0.000104 0.000242 0.000485 0.000907 0.001582 0.002573 0.004084
2025-12-21 0.000092 0.000225 0.000464 0.000890 0.001582 0.002613 0.004200
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000221 0.000468 0.000913 0.001645 0.002746 0.004456
2026-01-04 0.000083 0.000216 0.000468 0.000930 0.001699 0.002867 0.004695
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000204 0.000454 0.000921 0.001712 0.002925 0.004843
2026-01-18 0.000068 0.000192 0.000439 0.000910 0.001720 0.002976 0.004979
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000186 0.000436 0.000920 0.001760 0.003078 0.005194
2026-02-01 0.000058 0.000178 0.000427 0.000919 0.001785 0.003154 0.005372